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It could be a struggle for Tampa to keep up with an explosive Vikings offense that averaged 27 points per game at home last season. The Bucs made no major additions on that side of the ball and lost both Brady and Leonard Fournette, who led the team in scrimmage yards and touchdowns in 2022. However, it still made the playoffs thanks to the right arm of Tom Brady, but with the GOAT gone, the team doesn't have anyone to hang its hat on offensively. Tampa ranked last in the NFL in rushing last season, both in terms of rushing yards and yards per attempt. See which other teams to pick here.Īnother one of its Week 1 NFL predictions: The Vikings (-5) cover the spread at home versus the Buccaneers over 50% of the time. The model projects Washington to force two turnovers and with Arizona's offensive struggles as a whole, the Commanders are covering the spread well over 50% of the time.

The young quarterback played well when he started the final game of the season against Dallas, completing 11 of 19 passes for 169 yards with a touchdown and an interception and rushing for 35 yards, including a touchdown, in a 26-6 victory. The Commanders are ready to hand the offense to Sam Howell, who was selected in the fifth round of the 2022 NFL out of North Carolina. Washington allowed the third-fewest yards per game (304.6) and tied for seventh in points allowed per game (20.2). This is a tough Week 1 matchup for Arizona with their offensive unknowns since Washington has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Kyler Murray (knee) opens the season on the PUP list and they released their top receiver, DeAndre Hopkins, making offense hard to come by on Sunday. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft after going 4-13 this season. One of the model's strongest Week 1 NFL picks is that the Commanders (-7) cover against the Cardinals. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Are they being underestimated yet again and should you include them in your Week 1 NFL picks? All of the Week 1 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. The Giants are 3.5-point home underdogs against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in the latest Week 1 NFL odds. The Giants (14-5) had the best record against the spread last season, including the playoffs, but they won't be surprising many as underdogs this season.

The parity is evident when looking at the Week 1 NFL odds, so who can you feel confident in?

Seven of the 15 remaining Week 1 games have the favorite listed at -3 or lower in the NFL Vegas odds. Every team wants to think its offseason moves will either help them remain toward the top or become a Cinderella, defying NFL spreads week after week.

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When you look at the Week 1 NFL schedule, teams are full of optimism. The 2023 NFL season is here and Week 1 can be the toughest week for oddsmakers and sports bettors looking to make their picks based on the Week 1 NFL odds.